Meteorologists are expecting a much-needed heavy rain event for North Texas to roll in Thursday and last through the weekend. The National Weather service issued a flash flood watch effective from 1 a.m. Friday morning until 1 a.m. Sunday morning for 38 counties in North Texas, including Denton, Dallas, Tarrant, Cooke, Wise, and Collin counties. Forecasters expect most of North Texas will get three to six inches of rain, with some locally heavy downpours of as much as 10 inches.
For Thursday, the forecast calls for possible showers and thunderstorms this morning, which chances increasing in the afternoon to 70%. As of 6:30 a.m., radar showed the storms west of our area along a line from Childress to Big Spring, which should allow for a dry morning commute. Skies will be mostly cloudy today, and highs will be in the upper 70s with winds from the southeast at 15-20 mph. There is an 80% chance of rain tonight, with possible heavy rainfall. Lows tonight will be in the upper 60s. Southeast winds will be at 15-20 mph dropping to 10-15 mph after midnight. Friday, rain chances increase to 90%. Saturday, the rain chance is 80%.
As of last Thursday, Denton County was in severe drought. An exceptionally dry summer followed a very wet May that brought flooding and a new record level for Lewisville Lake. About 47% of the State of Texas is currently in drought stages 1-4. Since January 1, the DFW area has received 39.1 inches of rain- nearly 10 inches above normal for the year, but the last several months have been dry. Lewisville Lake sits at 521.15 feet, or about 10 inches below full conservation pool.
National Weather Service update from Thursday morning:
Here is the latest information on the heavy rainfall expected to move into North Texas starting later today. It appears that we will have at least two rounds of heavy rainfall...one tonight...and another late Friday night into Saturday. At this time it appears that most of North Texas will pick up 3 to 6 inches of rain. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH is in effect for most of the area. Keep in mind that there are likely to be small bands or pockets of very heavy rainfall...as much as 10 inches of rain in some areas. These will be very localized and extremely difficult to pin down an exact location. Stay tuned for the latest forecast information throughout the day.